Archive for July, 2010

Some thoughts on drugs and the management of risk.

Monday, July 19th, 2010

There’s an interesting article in today’s LAT about one possible solution to the problem of antibiotic resistance; doctors are pulling older antibiotics out of the drug closet.

The nice thing about this is that many bacteria, such as the one that causes MRSA, haven’t had a chance to develop a resistance to these older drugs. The trade-off, though, is that there’s a reason many of these drugs went out of common use. For example, chloramphenicol, the centerpiece drug in the article, went out of favor because it carried a risk of triggering aplastic anaemia. The Wikipedia article on chloramphenicol gives the risk at 1 out of every 24,000 to 40,000 people (for oral dosage). (Please do not get your medical advice from Wikipedia. This has been a public service announcement.) That’s pretty high by modern standards, but a lot better than dying of MRSA; at least, that’s the point of view of the doctors quoted by the LAT.

This is just the most current example of a topic that fascinates and frustrates me; the trade-off between safe and effective in drug design. You say the word “thalidomide” to people and they’re horrified; rightfully so. But it turns out that thalidomide is effective for treating multiple myeloma and complications of leprosy. Are the benefits of thalidomide worth the risks of birth defects? Who gets to decide?

We saw much the same thing with Vioxx; there were (and are) people who were willing to trade a relatively small risk of cardiac complications for effective pain relief, especially since many of these people were unable to tolerate aspirin or other pain relievers.

Now we’re seeing this with Avandia, too; an effective drug for managing blood sugar and reducing the chances of diabetes complications. But, once again, it appears to carry a relatively small risk of cardiac complications, and that’s leading to calls for it to be pulled from the market.

We’re letting the FDA make the decisions for us on how much risk we’re willing to tolerate in order to get results. Is that the best way to do it? Would we be better off if the FDA was only responsible for making sure doctors had all the information? Once they do have all the relevant information, shouldn’t the risk/reward trade-off be an informed decision by the doctor and patient?

Propellers in the dawn.

Monday, July 19th, 2010

Travel day. Light blogging.

This one’s for Mike.

Sunday, July 18th, 2010

Look! Mountains!

Look! Cactus!

Look! Taliesin West!

Look! Tiki!

I promised photos…

Thursday, July 15th, 2010

I took a lot more photos than these, but I want to wait until I get back to the MacBook and iPhoto before I post too many. Some of them will need cleanup, I’m sure, and I would prefer to be able to work with the RAW versions.

Here are two high points of the day, though.

Under the radar we crept on.

Thursday, July 15th, 2010

Bag found and delivered to hotel.

Blogger awake, biological clock mostly reset, soon to shower and go forth in search of bagels and coffee.

More later, including photos, I hope.

(Subject line hattip. Much much thanks to TJIC for the pointer; Abney Park’s “Under the Radar” is the official theme song for this trip.)

Happy Bastille Day, everyone!

Wednesday, July 14th, 2010

I generally recommend to folks that they observe the holiday in the traditional way; get drunk and storm a prison.

Apologies for the lack of other content. Today is a travel day. And a certain bag-loving airline has temporarily misplaced my bag.

More later.

Take a look at these fabulous prizes.

Tuesday, July 13th, 2010

By way of one of the mailing lists I subscribe to, an Esquire article about Terry Kniess, the first person ever to turn in a perfect Showcase bid on The Price Is Right, and the controversy that followed.

Bonus points for the reference to Michael Larson.

Obit watch.

Tuesday, July 13th, 2010

Wow. Steinbrenner’s dead?

Edited to add: NYT quotes reactions from various folks, including Yogi Berra and Don Zimmer. Billy Martin was unavailable for comment.

I have seen reports that SF writer James P. Hogan passed away yesterday; however, I consider those reports unconfirmed at this point, as there is nothing on the Locus web site yet. I’ve been checking periodically; if I get confirmation, I will note it here. (Edited to add 2: Locus is now confirming the reports of Hogan’s death.)

For what it may be worth, here are links to Harvey Pekar obits from the NYT and the Cleveland Plain Dealer.

Also among the dead: Tuli Kupferberg, founding member of The Fugs.

The Scales of Justice.

Monday, July 12th, 2010

Continuing our intermittent series of Crime Stoppers updates, someone has stolen thirteen Japanese koi from a pond at the Zilker Botanical Garden.

This does not appear to be a lark, or a crime of opportunity by a crack head or some equivalent; the koi are pretty large fish which would be tough to handle alone, and each one needs at least 10 gallons of water for transport (that is, if you want living fish at the end of it). From what the Statesman says, I gather that the koi does not make for good sushi.

I don’t have a good explanation for the fact that the theft apparently took place two weeks ago, and we’re only now finding out about it.

Lawrence speculated to me that perhaps the koi were stolen for someone who is (or was) planning a Polynesian dinner for the masses. In other words, he thinks the motive was hoi polloi koi poi. (Yes, I’m aware that poi is not made from fish, but from the taro plant. You try telling Lawrence that.)

Anyway, be on the lookout for people selling koi on street corners. Remember; if it doesn’t look legit, it probably isn’t. Ask for papers.

Historical note.

Monday, July 12th, 2010

Had it not been for a timely tip from Lawrence, we would have let tonight’s historic anniversary pass unnoticed and unloved.

And we can’t have that, can we?

Ladies and Germans, I give you the 31st anniversary of the greatest event in sports history. I refer, of course, to nothing other than Disco Demolition Night at Comiskey Park.

I would link to the video on FARK’s “Videos” tab, but it doesn’t seem to want to load. So I’ll leave you with an odd bit of trivia from Wikipedia:

For White Sox outfielder Rusty Torres, Disco Demolition Night was actually the third time in his career he had personally seen a forfeit-inducing riot. He had played for the New York Yankees at the last Senators game in Washington in 1971 and the Cleveland Indians at the infamous Ten Cent Beer Night in Cleveland in 1974.

I was also not aware that the last Senators game ended in a riot and a forfeit. You learn something new every day,

Von Ryan’s Rangers.

Monday, July 12th, 2010

We previously noted that the Texas Rangers had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, apparently as part of a plan to grease the rails for sale of the team to a group led by former Rangers and Astros pitcher Nolan Ryan.

How’s that working out for them?

The Texas Rangers have been slapped with a lawsuit accusing them of breaching an agreement with the team’s prospective buyers, a group led by Hall of Fame pitcher Nolan Ryan and Pittsburgh sports attorney Chuck Greenberg.

That well, huh?

Better coverage from the Dallas Morning News and their RangersBlog here. From reading both articles, it looks like Ryan et al are claiming that the team has continued to negotiate with other bidders, even after the Ryan group was “selected” as the winning bidder.

Obit watch.

Monday, July 12th, 2010

Harvey Pekar.

Edited to add: Reason tribute.

All-Star loser update.

Monday, July 12th, 2010

At the All-Star break:

Houston still holding on to 5th place, with a .404 winning percentage. At this pace, they’re projected to win 65.448 games.

Baltimore is still at the bottom, 29-59, .330 winning percentage. At this pace, they’re projected to win 53.46 games.

And Pittsburgh is 30-58, only slightly better than Balmer. At a .341 winning percentage, the projection is 55.242 wins.

NYT watch.

Friday, July 9th, 2010

Two from the NYT that I think are worth noting.

I can’t decide if this is the most stupid or most awesome article they’ve published recently, so I report, you decide: Is Jousting the Next Extreme Sport?

“I want to see another guy get paralyzed,” a boy in front of me squealed, waving a toy sword.

Both Lawrence and I had the same reaction to this quote, which was a flashback to an early Tank McNamara strip during a particularly bloody period in auto racing. The strip featured a child asking his father, “Are we going to see someone get killed?” and the father responding “Only if we’re lucky, son.” (Edited to add: Lawrence says he thinks the strip was referring to hockey. I’m pretty sure it was auto racing, but I’ve edited this post to indicate that our memories differ. If anyone has the strip, or a copy of Another day, another $11,247.63, they could settle this.)

Interestingly, there seems to be a split between American jousting, which originated more within the Renaissance fair culture, and European jousting, which has a high regard for historical accuracy.

The other article that intrigued me is this piece by Kerry Howley (who’s written some good stuff for Reason) about cryonic suspension and the husband-wife conflicts it causes.

Cryonet, a mailing list on “cryonics-related issues,” takes as one of its issues the opposition of wives. (The ratio of men to women among living cyronicists is roughly three to one.)

I was particularly amused by this article because the centerpiece, Robin Hanson, is also featured prominently (and amusingly) in Tyler Cowen‘s book, Discover Your Inner Economist, which I’ve been reading for the past few days. Hanson (and, for that matter, Cowen, too) sounds like one of those people I’d really like to meet and have a few drinks with. (With Cowen, probably dinner as well.)

A little slow, a little late.

Friday, July 9th, 2010

I saw this post over at Borepatch’s earlier in the week, but I didn’t get curious until I saw this one over at Crider’s place about the Christie’s auction of the Roy Rogers and Dale Evans art collection.

One Google search later, and I found out that the Roy Rogers and Dale Evans Musuem is closed.

Seriously, that’s a shame. Roy, Trigger, and Dale were really more of my father’s time than my own, but I have a certain amount of respect for Roy and his legacy. I’m kind of sad the museum couldn’t stay open; according to Roadside America, they got an estimated 200,000 visitors a year, but that wasn’t enough to keep the lights on.

Of course, you know I wouldn’t be me if I didn’t ask: are they going to sell Trigger? I actually expected that Trigger would stay in the family, since Roy Jr. is still performing in Branson. Then I found this AP article, and after much searching of the auction lots…here’s Trigger. Here’s the link for Buttermilk. If you have an estimated $200-$300 to spare, you can buy horseshit from Christie’s. Here’s Bullet. And here’s Trigger, Jr.