The Lance Armstrong Problem.

I’ve never met Lance Armstrong. He isn’t someone I idolize. I’ve never done the Ride for the Roses, though I know people who have.

But I used to bicycle regularly (and I need to get back on the bike, now that I’ve finished school). I bought a couple of replica Tour de France jerseys to wear when I rode, which I alternated with my “Old Guys Who Get Fat In the Winter” team jersey and my vintage Aeroflot jersey.

I pulled hard for Armstrong when he was racing in the tour the first few times. I was elated when he won the 2003 tour: “Now,” I thought to myself, “he can be counted as among the best ever.”  When he won in 2004, I was less excited, and I began to lose interest by 2005. It felt like he was piling on, and there just wasn’t anything at stake. After that, there came a lot of things that made me perceive him as possibly being sort of dickish – though again, I’ve never met him, and he could be the nicest person in the world, but there were things that tarnished his public image in my mind.

But I never believed he doped. I wanted one of these posters for a long time. “What am I on? I’m on my bike busting my ass six hours a day.” I wanted to believe in the Lance Armstrong from the New Yorker profile: “Give me my rain jacket—I’m riding back.”

I’m not the kind of person who buries their head in the sand and ignores inconvenient facts, though. I have a lot of trouble accepting the whole “I’m tired of fighting” line. Not from Lance Armstrong; that stuff don’t fly. “The toll this has taken on my family, and my work for our foundation and on me leads me to where I am today – finished with this nonsense. “ What kind of toll is giving in going to have on your family, Lance, when everyone is saying to your kids “Dad’s a doper”? What do you think this is going to do to the foundation; do you think it is too big to fail? The Komen folks would beg to differ.

But I’m also having a hard time buying the idea that Lance is folding up his tent and going into the night because USADA has anything on him. As he’s said repeatedly, Lance Armstrong is the most tested athlete in history. None of those tests have showed up positive. Which is more plausible?

  1. Lance Armstrong never used any performance enhancing substance in violation of the rules.
  2. Lance Armstrong doped, but was so far ahead of the curve that his doping was undetectable by the most sophisticated labs in the world.

My money has always been on number 1. In spite of Armstrong folding, it still is.

And what is the evidence against him? As far as I can tell, USADA’s case is based on eyewitness testimony from people like Landis and Hamilton, both of whom are convicted dopers. Isn’t this kind of like relying on the testimony of an accomplice as the sole evidence to convict someone of a crime, without other collaborating evidence? If their testimony is that the eyewitnesses saw Armstrong getting injections, then either:

  1. They knew what was being injected, should be able to provide evidence to that effect, and there should be collaborating evidence (such as blood/urine tests) to prove their assertions. Or
  2. They didn’t know what was being injected, and it could have been something perfectly legal; in that case, their testimony is meaningless.

Right now, I don’t know what to make out of this. I think I need some time to sort through my own feelings, and the things that are still coming out in the press.

4 Responses to “The Lance Armstrong Problem.”

  1. I find that if I just start with the assumption that every athlete above the high school level (and some below it) are doping, I’m never disappointed…

  2. stainles says:

    And you know, maybe that’s what we need. Simply: “You’re over the age of 18. You can take whatever performance enhancing substances you can legally get your hands on. We don’t care, as long as you do it legally.”

    If someone can get a doctor to prescribe a steroid regimen for them, why should we care? If someone is willing to risk 20 years off their life for money and athletic glory now, should we stop them?

  3. ben says:

    I could believe LA doped before he had cancer. It was unusual that someone his age would get that aggressive of cancer. I doubt he doped after it while winning the TDF since he was the most drug tested athlete.

    You may remember the BALCO scandal where an elite client list got drugs (the cream and the clear) for about a decade that there were no tests available Is it possible that LA was the sole recipient of some new drug?

  4. […] again, I feel some obligation to comment on the Lance situation. It is looking like option #2 on my list may actually have turned out to be true. But I want to sit down and actually read the USADA report […]